Helmut Norpoth’s “Primary model” has been right 25 of 27 times, and it predicts that, in 2020, President Trump will defeat Joe Biden 362-176 in the Electoral College. Professor Norpoth just as ...

Despite recent polls that identify Joe Biden as the heavy favorite in 2020, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" ...

Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally at the South Florida Fairgrounds in West Palm Beach, Fla Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally at the South Florida Fairgrounds in West Palm Beach, Florida.

A New York professor whose formula has proven accurate in every presidential election but one since 1912 says Donald Trump has a 97.6 percent chance — or better — of taking the White House if he’s the ...

Eleven incumbent US presidents have run for re-election since Gallup began tracking their approval ratings in 1945. For 75 years, approval over 50 percent means a president wins a second term, while ...

That's the word political scientist Helmut Norpoth used to describe his current lot in life, one that finds his professional credibility intertwined with a politician who appears to have less and less ...

Despite recent polls that identify Joe Biden as the heavy favorite in 2020, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" ...